Bitcoin & Crypto udpate: new dump soon ? – SUBVERTO TRADING CLUB


[inaudible]. Hello guys and welcome back to my channel Where we talk about trading and analyzing
Bitcoin, altcoins and cryptocurrencies. If you’re new here I am
Seer, a professional trader
and today I’m going to give you guys an update on crypto so you can
understand where I think prices headed in the coming days. I’m going to show you how I created it and
if you want to learn more about that, please keep watching my videos.
But before we get into it, make sure to hit that subscribe button
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time I post a video. Let’s dive right into it.
I spoke about this before. Um, primarily what we were looking at was for
Bitcoin to have his first impulse into a new market cycle. And right after that, sideways monthly consolidation. This was the third month, the
previous month was the third month. But what you can see is the
previous two market cycles. How the sideways was affirmed was that
we never had a break of the previous monthly lows. And now you can see Bitcoin is not
following the market structure of the previous two market cycles. We have now broken and close below
the low of July and, essentially, this is something really, really important guys because we have not
seen this before on the Bitcoin chart. We’ve had a strong impulse and no follow
through, consolidation and what we are doing now is correction. I was looking at a yearly pivot test. We are still holding the yearly pivot, which is at about 8,000 but what I want
to take you to is now the total market cap. So this is the total market
cap on the weekly timeframe. I want to show you something
very important and different from
the previous market cycle. A comparison, you’re looking at highs and lows. So you can see on the total market
cap in the previous market cycles never made a lower low on the weekly. That is that using price. We were trending all the
way til the December highs. Very critically what you can see now
is that the previous weekly candle, we now have made a lower low. Yes, that’s right. We made a lower low and essentially
I’m just going to look for the brush. Yeah, we made the low, low, sorry. So basically we’ve taken all the low that
Create the high and we have not done this before on the total market cap. This is really, really important because this takes us
into a downtrend and being in downtrend in the weekly timeframe,
I think it’s essential that now we’re looking to short bounces, you know, because this is not the same market
structure that I feel everybody’s thinking that we are looking at anymore. Crypto as
a market is doing something different. Either it’s going into a consolidation
or another perspective to look at it is, let’s just look at the fibonnaci retracement. We can see the 0.38 retracement
from the previous market cycle It held of the weekly, those we
made a similar kind of retracement. Yeah it is 38.2 retracement. But yes, we haven’t held the weekly close. So either of are heading
into a consolidation phase
or this is a new market cycle where we do find support,
another weekly support. So that weekly support is
about 10% down from here. Essentially if we do find support
here and consolidate and move up, it is still a probability. But
for now we are making a lower low on the weekly. So I think everybody who is overly
bullish needs to be able to care for. I’m gonna switch also.
Uh, I just remembered, I wanted to talk about the yearly
pivots here as well. And uh, you can see on the previous breakdowns
we did break down from the yearly pivot, but well the next year as you see, we turned it into support. Currently we tested the yearly
pivot as resistance and, I mean now the market really
needs to prove itself guys, I mean before getting overly bullish or
you know, looking for the skies, We need the market to prove itself. Um, moving on to the altcoin market cap, I was looking at the,
again, the previous cycle, essentially it’s not exactly the same. you know what we see. Look at the February
retracement on the previous Altcoin market cycle. You can see very clearly that
we were much more bullish. We had a 50% retrace on the first impulse we fully retrace that
made another little bounce and moved On this alt coin market cycle, We haven’t even been able to make a
23% bounce from the drop that we had. That does not bode so well
for altcoins. But essentially, yes, we can make a retrace and do weekly
support again and build a consolidation pattern like we did before. Essentially that just reflects that
we would need time here. You know, it’s nothing else. It if nothing else and it does not
break and the support holds and you get another very nice trade to long the crypto ecosystem again, but for now essentially you need
to be careful because what was support before, now turned into resistance and we broke down from it. You can see we did something
similar the last time. So yeah guys, this is what I see on higher timeframes. This is the micro timeframe and uh, I want to move to Bitcoin. Now let’s look at the Bitcoin chart on weekly. So not like the total market. On bitcoin right now, the weekly has survived. Essentially the low that made the high
on the weekly is surviving right now on Bitcoin, but what is not so good is that we did
break down from a very strong support zone and we broke down with
a decent amount of volume. I want to zoom in a bit more, so okay, let’s check out the
daily for a second. Okay. The daily doesn’t look too red yet, but yes, this 8k zone is support, which is also the yearly pivot has
had one, two, three, four, five tests. It has held it, I believe
if we go down here again, the support is already
going to be exhausted. What we’re looking at on the
daily timeframe. Okay, let’s zoom in. Zoom into the four hour. Let me
show you something more clearly. Okay. On the four hour we have, this is basically the monthly open, which has been defended right now. I think if we break below the monthly
open on possibly even the four hour, the door to 8,000 opens again and we have built another higher range
after we had a stop run over here. This higher range, the the
middle of this higher range. I think if we start closing above this, we can see 8600 use zone so
my play right now would be, if you’re not already in the short, just a couple of hours ago, it was a really nice short over here. My play would be to either see if price is closing
above the middle of this range. If you, these do see a
close middle of this range, you can see a play all the way to 8,600
8,600. But if you see a stop run here and maybe a retest, you can get
another nice shorting opportunity. If you see a daily close
below the monthly open, I would be very careful and essentially
I am looking for adding to my shorts down here. First target for that would be 8000 usd
but I don’t think eight thousands we’ll hold. If we do, sorry. If we do start closing below this, I will add to my shorts again. Again looking towards this weekly level, which is the liquidity, there
is a lot of liquidity down here. These equal lows are also the weekly
low. A Bitcoin breaks below this, I think we are in big trouble because uh, we’d be making a lower low in the
weekly. That is not a bull run guys. That is essentially a downtrend on
higher timeframe and you really need to understand that you cannot really
expect a stronger turn around, I think there’s liquidity.
If it’s taken down, it is possible that we could
get 7k or high 6k. So for now this is the shorter and
medium game plan for Bitcoin, the monthly, monthly open
guys, it’s really important. Essentially if we start
closing below this, I think you should be looking for more
downside; and the middle of this range for revisiting 8,600. Um, For alts of this is the daily
frame against BTC. I do think that once Bitcoin
ends up finding support, I’m going to go back to
the Altcoin market Jack. If Bitcoin ends up finding support in the
higher 6k or even on the 6k, um, the Altcoin marketcap will retrace to this weekly level
and essentially if we do retrace here, you can look for a nice
sideways on Bitcoin. And that’s what has me looking
at this altcoin BTC chart. AltBTC. Essentially if you look at
market cycles like Litecoin, BNB, ADA, all of them have essentially had full
retraces on the market cycles and full retraces with some
sideways consolidation, On most of them, would have me looking for
at least a bounce play on altcoins if not entirely a new market cycle. Definitely there would be some
upside to play for all BTC. Getting down to it. Here’s the XRP BTC chart and you can see
I’ve drawn out a bit of a fractal from The previous market cycles, 2015 2016 2017
we had a consolidation. We’see also pretty nice spikes up here, you know, 100% moves with a nice range playing out. I do believe we reached
the bottom of that range. So we have probabilities of pretty
good 40, 50, even 100% moves on XRP BTC. It used to move fast. But if you can
catch it at a nice place, this is a good play. Another play that I
would want to look at is ETHBTC. It is in a very
interesting position too. Yep. So super long downtrend line all the way
from the January 2018 highs, and we are very close to it. Also we are very close to
this important weekly level. I think if we get above it, we’re
going to get another run guys, we could get 20, 30 even 50% is BTC. I think these players will becoming once
BTC find support somewhere and that we need to still find out where it’s going
to be depending on mid timeframe plays. So that’s what I
wanted to talk about guys. I wanted us to be careful. Don’t be overly optimistic because again, the total market cap we have broken
down and we are now making lower lows on a weekly timeframe. Bitcoin
is yet to do that. So in the mid timeframe we are
looking at the monthly open. Currently if you’ve
been trading around it, we made a liquidity strike
over here and a strong, a strong down candle on
the hourly timeframe. So this is the play for BTC
that had spoken awhile and uh, this is the play for AltCoins. And essentially, the large caps,
they look good. So whenever we see is going
to be finding the bottom, I suggest you really start looking into
alt Btc play because for the next, I would say month or two, those would be the most profitable in
the crypto space. That’s all for me guys. Be make sure to hit the LIKE and the SUBSCRIBE button and I will see you. See you guys soon. Again, cheers. If you found this video helpful, please give it a thumbs up and go
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